It's not as if the idea of 19 year old Katie Ledecky losing at swimming was completely crazy. She finished second in a semifinal as recently as Monday. At various meets at various times, she has been known to enter events - an individual medley in Atlanta, a butterfly in Mesa - where she stands no chance, just for kicks, just for variety's sake, just to post a time.
But on a stage such as this, the 2016 Rio de Janeiro Olympics, in a race such as the one in which she would be swimming on Tuesday night, the final of the women’s 200-metre freestyle, Ledecky simply does not lose. Not even when the swimmer next to her was faster this year, and this week. Not even when she revs her engine so hard, she nearly throws up on the last lap.
For the 14th time in her career, Ledecky faced a final in a major international race, and for the 14th time, she won. Few, if any, had been too hard. But that only made her narrow victory that much sweeter. Pushing herself beyond her normal, self-regulated limits, Ledecky held off world No 1 Sarah Sjostrom of Sweden over the final lap to finish in 1:53.73 and win the gold medal by 35 hundredths of a second. Australia’s Emma McKeon won bronze in 1:54.92.
"That was such a tough race," Ledecky said. "Everything was hurting, and I knew I wouldn't be able to see most of field on last 50, so I knew I had to just dig deep. When I saw it [first place] on scoreboard, it sunk in then. I was done when I touched the wall. I gave it everything I had there, and I knew I had to. It was such an incredible field, and I was just honoured to be a part of that."
The victory gave Ledecky, who is from Bethesda, Maryland, her third medal, and second gold, of the Rio Games, to go along with the single gold she won in London four years ago.
When it was over, rather than slap the water in exultation as she had after winning the 400 free two nights earlier, all Ledecky could muster was a weak grin and a massive exhale, whatever was gurgling up from below thankfully pushed back down.
"It went away," she said of the feeling of almost vomiting. "Everything hurt at the end. It means I pushed myself to the max."
Ledecky, in lane five, made the first turn in fifth place, with McKeon, in lane seven, holding a slight lead. By the halfway point, she had climbed to second, just six-hundredths of a second behind McKeon. But then here came Sjostrom from lane four. Ledecky knew she had made a poor second turn - starting her flip too soon - and made a decision to push herself in the third 50 to give herself the lead entering the final lap.
The strategy worked - she turned at the 150 mark with a lead of .40 seconds over Sjostrom - but there was a cost: Halfway through the final lap, she felt a familiar "burp" rising up, the kind she experiences when she has pushed herself to the brink, and that sometimes leads to actual vomit.
"I could feel it was coming," she said, "and I just needed to get my hand to the wall."
Ledecky had led the world rankings in the 200 free for most of the year, following a 1:54.43 in Austin in January, but the lead was understood to be tenuous. Sure enough, at an Olympic-tuneup meet in her native country in July, Sjostrom, 22, threw down a 1:54.34, taking over the top ranking from Ledecky and putting the two champions on a collision course in Rio de Janeiro.
The stakes were raised further on Sunday night, when both swimmers set world records in other events: Sjostrom in the 100 butterfly, Ledecky in the 400 free. If Ledecky was clearly dialed-in, so, too, was Sjostrom. In a head-to-head matchup in a 200 free semifinal on Monday night, Sjostrom out-touched Ledecky by sixteen-hundredths of a second, ensuring the two would be in adjacent lanes in the middle of the pool for Tuesday night’s final.
"I'd never bet against her," Ledecky's coach, Bruce Gemmell, said.
Every shred of evidence in the days leading up to Tuesday night’s 200 - her consistently superb training, her two sizzling swims here as the anchor for the silver-medal-winning 4x100 free relay team, her world-record-shattering performance in the 400 free - pointed to the conclusion that Ledecky was simply in the best form of her life. Her monster showing Tuesday night only proved it definitively.
Ledecky could - and should - leave Rio with two more golds before these Olympics are over. She will anchor the women’s 4x200 free relay tonight, a race in which the United States has won gold in four of the past five Olympic games, as well as the 2015 world championships. She will then close out her Olympic meet with the 800 free, with heats tomorrow afternoon and final Friday night, an event in which no one in the world has been within 11 seconds of her this year and no one in history has been within seven.